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New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings — 2026-10-02

6:30 PM ETLittle Caesars ArenaNHLFINAL
Recap

New York Rangers beat Detroit Red Wings 2-0, a 2-goals margin. We projected New York Rangers 3.0-3.1 Detroit Red Wings and gave Detroit Red Wings a 66% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

New York Rangers
34%
Detroit Red Wings
66%
Projected
Rangers 3.0 - 3.1 Wings

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Detroit Red Wings as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 55-point Elo gap (1536 vs 1481) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Rangers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

New York Rangers
No recent games on file.
Detroit Red Wings
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: New York Rangers 34% / Detroit Red Wings 66%. Projected New York Rangers 3 — 3.1 Detroit Red Wings.

Our NHL model rates Detroit Red Wings as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 55-point Elo gap (1536 vs 1481) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Rangers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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