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New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs — 2026-10-22

7:00 PM ETScotiabank ArenaNHL

Model prediction

New York Rangers
41%
Toronto Maple Leafs
59%
Projected
Rangers 3.0 - 3.1 Leafs

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Toronto Maple Leafs as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 4-point Elo gap (1485 vs 1481) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Rangers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

New York Rangers
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Toronto Maple Leafs
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