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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Columbus Blue Jackets — 2026-10-09

7:00 PM ETNationwide ArenaNHLFINAL
Recap

Columbus Blue Jackets beat Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2, a 1-goal margin. We projected Pittsburgh Penguins 3.1-3.0 Columbus Blue Jackets and gave Columbus Blue Jackets a 55% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Pittsburgh Penguins
45%
Columbus Blue Jackets
55%
Projected
Penguins 3.1 - 3.0 Jackets

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Columbus Blue Jackets as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a -22-point Elo gap (1536 vs 1558) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Pittsburgh Penguins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Pittsburgh Penguins
No recent games on file.
Columbus Blue Jackets
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Pittsburgh Penguins 45% / Columbus Blue Jackets 55%. Projected Pittsburgh Penguins 3.1 — 3 Columbus Blue Jackets.

Our NHL model rates Columbus Blue Jackets as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a -22-point Elo gap (1536 vs 1558) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Pittsburgh Penguins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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