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Edmonton Oilers vs San Jose Sharks — 2026-10-10

4:00 PM ETSAP Center at San JoseNHLFINAL
Recap

Edmonton Oilers beat San Jose Sharks 3-1, a 2-goals margin. We projected Edmonton Oilers 3.1-3.0 San Jose Sharks and gave San Jose Sharks a 55% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Edmonton Oilers
45%
San Jose Sharks
55%
Projected
Oilers 3.1 - 3.0 Sharks

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates San Jose Sharks as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a -26-point Elo gap (1511 vs 1537) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Edmonton Oilers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Edmonton Oilers
No recent games on file.
San Jose Sharks
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Edmonton Oilers 45% / San Jose Sharks 55%. Projected Edmonton Oilers 3.1 — 3 San Jose Sharks.

Our NHL model rates San Jose Sharks as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a -26-point Elo gap (1511 vs 1537) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Edmonton Oilers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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