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Utah Mammoth vs Buffalo Sabres — 2026-10-10

7:00 PM ETKeyBank CenterNHLFINAL
Recap

Utah Mammoth beat Buffalo Sabres 4-1, a 3-goals margin. We projected Utah Mammoth 2.9-3.2 Buffalo Sabres and gave Buffalo Sabres a 66% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Utah Mammoth
34%
Buffalo Sabres
66%
Projected
Mammoth 2.9 - 3.2 Sabres

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Buffalo Sabres as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1598 vs 1540) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Utah Mammoth would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Utah Mammoth
No recent games on file.
Buffalo Sabres
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Utah Mammoth 34% / Buffalo Sabres 66%. Projected Utah Mammoth 2.9 — 3.2 Buffalo Sabres.

Our NHL model rates Buffalo Sabres as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1598 vs 1540) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Utah Mammoth would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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