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Utah Mammoth vs New York Rangers — 2026-10-04

6:00 PM ETMadison Square GardenNHLFINAL
Recap

New York Rangers beat Utah Mammoth 4-2, a 2-goals margin. We projected Utah Mammoth 3.2-2.9 New York Rangers and gave New York Rangers a 50% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Utah Mammoth
50%
New York Rangers
50%
Projected
Mammoth 3.2 - 2.9 Rangers

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates New York Rangers as the more likely winner at 50%. The driver is a -59-point Elo gap (1481 vs 1540) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Utah Mammoth would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Utah Mammoth
No recent games on file.
New York Rangers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Utah Mammoth 50% / New York Rangers 50%. Projected Utah Mammoth 3.2 — 2.9 New York Rangers.

Our NHL model rates New York Rangers as the more likely winner at 50%. The driver is a -59-point Elo gap (1481 vs 1540) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Utah Mammoth would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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