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Seattle Kraken vs Edmonton Oilers — 2026-10-03

7:00 PM ETRogers PlaceNHLFINAL
Recap

Edmonton Oilers beat Seattle Kraken 3-1, a 2-goals margin. We projected Seattle Kraken 3.0-3.1 Edmonton Oilers and gave Edmonton Oilers a 65% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Seattle Kraken
35%
Edmonton Oilers
65%
Projected
Kraken 3.0 - 3.1 Oilers

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Edmonton Oilers as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 44-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1492) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Kraken would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Seattle Kraken
No recent games on file.
Edmonton Oilers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Seattle Kraken 35% / Edmonton Oilers 65%. Projected Seattle Kraken 3 — 3.1 Edmonton Oilers.

Our NHL model rates Edmonton Oilers as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 44-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1492) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Kraken would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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