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Seattle Kraken vs Washington Capitals — 2026-10-11

5:00 PM ETCapital One ArenaNHLFINAL
Recap

Seattle Kraken beat Washington Capitals 5-3, a 2-goals margin. We projected Seattle Kraken 3.0-3.1 Washington Capitals and gave Washington Capitals a 66% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Seattle Kraken
34%
Washington Capitals
66%
Projected
Kraken 3.0 - 3.1 Capitals

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Washington Capitals as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 55-point Elo gap (1547 vs 1492) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Kraken would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Seattle Kraken
No recent games on file.
Washington Capitals
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Seattle Kraken 34% / Washington Capitals 66%. Projected Seattle Kraken 3 — 3.1 Washington Capitals.

Our NHL model rates Washington Capitals as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 55-point Elo gap (1547 vs 1492) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Kraken would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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