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Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings — 2026-10-04

1:00 PM ETLittle Caesars ArenaNHLFINAL
Recap

Winnipeg Jets beat Detroit Red Wings 3-2, a 1-goal margin. We projected Winnipeg Jets 3.0-3.1 Detroit Red Wings and gave Detroit Red Wings a 63% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Winnipeg Jets
37%
Detroit Red Wings
63%
Projected
Jets 3.0 - 3.1 Wings

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Detroit Red Wings as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 33-point Elo gap (1536 vs 1503) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Winnipeg Jets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Winnipeg Jets
No recent games on file.
Detroit Red Wings
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Winnipeg Jets 37% / Detroit Red Wings 63%. Projected Winnipeg Jets 3 — 3.1 Detroit Red Wings.

Our NHL model rates Detroit Red Wings as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 33-point Elo gap (1536 vs 1503) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Winnipeg Jets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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