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New York Islanders vs New York Rangers — 2026-10-06

7:30 PM ETMadison Square GardenNHLFINAL
Recap

New York Rangers beat New York Islanders 5-2, a 3-goals margin. We projected New York Islanders 3.1-3.0 New York Rangers and gave New York Rangers a 51% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

New York Islanders
49%
New York Rangers
51%
Projected
Islanders 3.1 - 3.0 Rangers

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates New York Rangers as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -51-point Elo gap (1481 vs 1532) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Islanders would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

New York Islanders
No recent games on file.
New York Rangers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: New York Islanders 49% / New York Rangers 51%. Projected New York Islanders 3.1 — 3 New York Rangers.

Our NHL model rates New York Rangers as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -51-point Elo gap (1481 vs 1532) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Islanders would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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