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Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights — 2026-06-07

8:00 PM ETT-Mobile ArenaNHLFINAL
Recap

Vegas Golden Knights beat Carolina Hurricanes 5-4, a 1-goal margin. We projected Carolina Hurricanes 3.2-2.9 Vegas Golden Knights and gave Carolina Hurricanes a 51% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Carolina Hurricanes
51%
Vegas Golden Knights
49%
Projected
Hurricanes 3.2 - 2.9 Knights

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Carolina Hurricanes as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 66-point Elo gap (1613 vs 1547) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Vegas Golden Knights would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Carolina Hurricanes
No recent games on file.
Vegas Golden Knights
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Carolina Hurricanes 51% / Vegas Golden Knights 49%. Projected Carolina Hurricanes 3.2 — 2.9 Vegas Golden Knights.

Our NHL model rates Carolina Hurricanes as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 66-point Elo gap (1613 vs 1547) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Vegas Golden Knights would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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