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Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers — 2026-10-11

7:00 PM ETXfinity Mobile ArenaNHLFINAL
Recap

Carolina Hurricanes beat Philadelphia Flyers 4-1, a 3-goals margin. We projected Carolina Hurricanes 3.1-3.0 Philadelphia Flyers and gave Philadelphia Flyers a 51% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Carolina Hurricanes
49%
Philadelphia Flyers
51%
Projected
Hurricanes 3.1 - 3.0 Flyers

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Philadelphia Flyers as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -55-point Elo gap (1558 vs 1613) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Carolina Hurricanes would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Carolina Hurricanes
No recent games on file.
Philadelphia Flyers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Carolina Hurricanes 49% / Philadelphia Flyers 51%. Projected Carolina Hurricanes 3.1 — 3 Philadelphia Flyers.

Our NHL model rates Philadelphia Flyers as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -55-point Elo gap (1558 vs 1613) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Carolina Hurricanes would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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