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Carolina Hurricanes vs Montreal Canadiens — 2026-10-06

7:00 PM ETBell CentreNHLFINAL
Recap

Carolina Hurricanes beat Montreal Canadiens 6-4, a 2-goals margin. We projected Carolina Hurricanes 3.1-3.0 Montreal Canadiens and gave Montreal Canadiens a 55% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Carolina Hurricanes
45%
Montreal Canadiens
55%
Projected
Hurricanes 3.1 - 3.0 Canadiens

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Montreal Canadiens as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a -26-point Elo gap (1587 vs 1613) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Carolina Hurricanes would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Carolina Hurricanes
No recent games on file.
Montreal Canadiens
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Carolina Hurricanes 45% / Montreal Canadiens 55%. Projected Carolina Hurricanes 3.1 — 3 Montreal Canadiens.

Our NHL model rates Montreal Canadiens as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a -26-point Elo gap (1587 vs 1613) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Carolina Hurricanes would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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