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Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators — 2026-10-08

7:00 PM ETCanadian Tire CentreNHLFINAL
Recap

Ottawa Senators beat Philadelphia Flyers 2-1, a 1-goal margin. We projected Philadelphia Flyers 3.0-3.1 Ottawa Senators and gave Ottawa Senators a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Philadelphia Flyers
41%
Ottawa Senators
59%
Projected
Flyers 3.0 - 3.1 Senators

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Ottawa Senators as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 4-point Elo gap (1562 vs 1558) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Flyers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Philadelphia Flyers
No recent games on file.
Ottawa Senators
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Philadelphia Flyers 41% / Ottawa Senators 59%. Projected Philadelphia Flyers 3 — 3.1 Ottawa Senators.

Our NHL model rates Ottawa Senators as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 4-point Elo gap (1562 vs 1558) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Flyers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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