Tampa Bay Lightning beat Philadelphia Flyers 4-1, a 3-goals margin. We projected Philadelphia Flyers 3.0-3.1 Tampa Bay Lightning and gave Tampa Bay Lightning a 63% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our NHL model rates Tampa Bay Lightning as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 29-point Elo gap (1587 vs 1558) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Flyers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Philadelphia Flyers 37% / Tampa Bay Lightning 63%. Projected Philadelphia Flyers 3 — 3.1 Tampa Bay Lightning.
Our NHL model rates Tampa Bay Lightning as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 29-point Elo gap (1587 vs 1558) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Flyers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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