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Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils — 2026-10-01

7:00 PM ETPrudential CenterNHLFINAL
Recap

New Jersey Devils beat Philadelphia Flyers 3-2, a 1-goal margin. We projected Philadelphia Flyers 3.1-3.0 New Jersey Devils and gave New Jersey Devils a 53% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Philadelphia Flyers
47%
New Jersey Devils
53%
Projected
Flyers 3.1 - 3.0 Devils

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates New Jersey Devils as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a -40-point Elo gap (1518 vs 1558) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Flyers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Philadelphia Flyers
No recent games on file.
New Jersey Devils
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Philadelphia Flyers 47% / New Jersey Devils 53%. Projected Philadelphia Flyers 3.1 — 3 New Jersey Devils.

Our NHL model rates New Jersey Devils as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a -40-point Elo gap (1518 vs 1558) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Flyers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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