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New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders — 2026-10-03

7:30 PM ETUBS ArenaNHLFINAL
Recap

New York Islanders beat New Jersey Devils 6-0, a 6-goals margin. We projected New Jersey Devils 3.0-3.1 New York Islanders and gave New York Islanders a 61% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

New Jersey Devils
39%
New York Islanders
61%
Projected
Devils 3.0 - 3.1 Islanders

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates New York Islanders as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 15-point Elo gap (1532 vs 1518) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New Jersey Devils would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

New Jersey Devils
No recent games on file.
New York Islanders
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: New Jersey Devils 39% / New York Islanders 61%. Projected New Jersey Devils 3 — 3.1 New York Islanders.

Our NHL model rates New York Islanders as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 15-point Elo gap (1532 vs 1518) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New Jersey Devils would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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