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Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes — 2026-10-02

7:00 PM ETLenovo CenterNHLFINAL
Recap

Washington Capitals beat Carolina Hurricanes 5-2, a 3-goals margin. We projected Washington Capitals 2.9-3.2 Carolina Hurricanes and gave Carolina Hurricanes a 67% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Washington Capitals
33%
Carolina Hurricanes
67%
Projected
Capitals 2.9 - 3.2 Hurricanes

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Carolina Hurricanes as the more likely winner at 67%. The driver is a 66-point Elo gap (1613 vs 1547) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Capitals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Washington Capitals
No recent games on file.
Carolina Hurricanes
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Washington Capitals 33% / Carolina Hurricanes 67%. Projected Washington Capitals 2.9 — 3.2 Carolina Hurricanes.

Our NHL model rates Carolina Hurricanes as the more likely winner at 67%. The driver is a 66-point Elo gap (1613 vs 1547) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Capitals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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