Pittsburgh Penguins beat Montreal Canadiens 6-5, a 1-goal margin. We projected Montreal Canadiens 3.1-3.0 Pittsburgh Penguins and gave Pittsburgh Penguins a 54% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our NHL model rates Pittsburgh Penguins as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a -29-point Elo gap (1558 vs 1587) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Montreal Canadiens would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Montreal Canadiens 46% / Pittsburgh Penguins 54%. Projected Montreal Canadiens 3.1 — 3 Pittsburgh Penguins.
Our NHL model rates Pittsburgh Penguins as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a -29-point Elo gap (1558 vs 1587) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Montreal Canadiens would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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