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Chicago Blackhawks vs Buffalo Sabres — 2026-10-03

7:00 PM ETKeyBank CenterNHLFINAL
Recap

Buffalo Sabres beat Chicago Blackhawks 4-3, a 1-goal margin. We projected Chicago Blackhawks 2.8-3.3 Buffalo Sabres and gave Buffalo Sabres a 75% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Chicago Blackhawks
25%
Buffalo Sabres
75%
Projected
Blackhawks 2.8 - 3.3 Sabres

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Buffalo Sabres as the more likely winner at 75%. The driver is a 135-point Elo gap (1598 vs 1463) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago Blackhawks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Chicago Blackhawks
No recent games on file.
Buffalo Sabres
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Chicago Blackhawks 25% / Buffalo Sabres 75%. Projected Chicago Blackhawks 2.8 — 3.3 Buffalo Sabres.

Our NHL model rates Buffalo Sabres as the more likely winner at 75%. The driver is a 135-point Elo gap (1598 vs 1463) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago Blackhawks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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