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Chicago Blackhawks vs New York Islanders — 2026-10-08

7:30 PM ETUBS ArenaNHLFINAL
Recap

New York Islanders beat Chicago Blackhawks 4-1, a 3-goals margin. We projected Chicago Blackhawks 2.9-3.2 New York Islanders and gave New York Islanders a 68% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Chicago Blackhawks
32%
New York Islanders
68%
Projected
Blackhawks 2.9 - 3.2 Islanders

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates New York Islanders as the more likely winner at 68%. The driver is a 70-point Elo gap (1532 vs 1463) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago Blackhawks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Chicago Blackhawks
No recent games on file.
New York Islanders
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Chicago Blackhawks 32% / New York Islanders 68%. Projected Chicago Blackhawks 2.9 — 3.2 New York Islanders.

Our NHL model rates New York Islanders as the more likely winner at 68%. The driver is a 70-point Elo gap (1532 vs 1463) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago Blackhawks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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