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Colorado Avalanche vs Winnipeg Jets — 2026-10-07

7:30 PM ETCanada Life CentreNHLFINAL
Recap

Winnipeg Jets beat Colorado Avalanche 3-2, a 1-goal margin. We projected Colorado Avalanche 3.3-2.8 Winnipeg Jets and gave Colorado Avalanche a 61% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Colorado Avalanche
61%
Winnipeg Jets
39%
Projected
Avalanche 3.3 - 2.8 Jets

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Colorado Avalanche as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 137-point Elo gap (1640 vs 1503) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Winnipeg Jets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Colorado Avalanche
No recent games on file.
Winnipeg Jets
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Colorado Avalanche 61% / Winnipeg Jets 39%. Projected Colorado Avalanche 3.3 — 2.8 Winnipeg Jets.

Our NHL model rates Colorado Avalanche as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 137-point Elo gap (1640 vs 1503) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Winnipeg Jets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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