New York Yankees beat Detroit Tigers 4-3, a 1-run margin. We projected New York Yankees 4.5-4.4 Detroit Tigers and gave Detroit Tigers a 53% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a -2-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Yankees 47% / Detroit Tigers 53%. Projected New York Yankees 4.5 — 4.4 Detroit Tigers.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a -2-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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