Tampa Bay Rays won 5-2 over New York Yankees on 2026-10-05. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 3 runs.
Our MLB model rates Tampa Bay Rays as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 35-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Yankees 42% / Tampa Bay Rays 58%. Projected New York Yankees 4.4 — 4.5 Tampa Bay Rays.
Our MLB model rates Tampa Bay Rays as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 35-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: New York Yankees ML at -130 at -130. Pre-game: model 58.7% vs market 54.3% implied, a +4.5pp edge.
What happened: New York Yankees 2 @ Tampa Bay Rays 5.
Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.
Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.