New York Yankees beat Philadelphia Phillies 1-0, a 1-run margin. We projected New York Yankees 4.5-4.4 Philadelphia Phillies and gave New York Yankees a 54% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 52-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Yankees 54% / Philadelphia Phillies 46%. Projected New York Yankees 4.5 — 4.4 Philadelphia Phillies.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 52-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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