San Diego Padres won 3-2 over New York Yankees on 2026-09-04. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 1 run.
Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 64%. The driver is a 74-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Yankees 36% / San Diego Padres 64%. Projected New York Yankees 4.3 — 4.6 San Diego Padres.
Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 64%. The driver is a 74-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: New York Yankees ML at -132 at -132. Pre-game: model 58.8% vs market 54.7% implied, a +4.1pp edge.
What happened: New York Yankees 2 @ San Diego Padres 3.
Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.
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