New York Yankees beat Cleveland Guardians 8-4, a 4-runs margin. We projected New York Yankees 4.4-4.5 Cleveland Guardians and gave Cleveland Guardians a 54% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 1-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Yankees 46% / Cleveland Guardians 54%. Projected New York Yankees 4.4 — 4.5 Cleveland Guardians.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 1-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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