HomeMLB › New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs — 2026-08-01

7:15 PM ETWrigley FieldSP: Max Fried vs David PetersonMLBFINAL
Recap

Chicago Cubs won 5-2 over New York Yankees on 2026-08-01. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 3 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

New York Yankees
42%
Chicago Cubs
58%
Projected
Yankees 4.4 - 4.5 Cubs

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 32-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

New York Yankees
No recent games on file.
Chicago Cubs
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: New York Yankees 42% / Chicago Cubs 58%. Projected New York Yankees 4.4 — 4.5 Chicago Cubs.

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 32-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: New York Yankees ML at -109 at -109. Pre-game: model 56.3% vs market 49.9% implied, a +6.4pp edge.

What happened: New York Yankees 2 @ Chicago Cubs 5.

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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