HomeMLB › New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs — 2026-07-31

2:20 PM ETWrigley FieldSP: Will Warren vs Shota ImanagaMLBFINAL
Recap

New York Yankees won 2-0 over Chicago Cubs on 2026-07-31. Margin of 2 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

New York Yankees
42%
Chicago Cubs
58%
Projected
Yankees 4.4 - 4.5 Cubs

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 32-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

New York Yankees
No recent games on file.
Chicago Cubs
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: New York Yankees 42% / Chicago Cubs 58%. Projected New York Yankees 4.4 — 4.5 Chicago Cubs.

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 32-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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