New York Yankees won 4-3 over Toronto Blue Jays on 2026-08-16. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 1 run.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 49-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Yankees 54% / Toronto Blue Jays 46%. Projected New York Yankees 4.5 — 4.4 Toronto Blue Jays.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 49-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 6.5 at -112 at -112. Pre-game: model 56.1% vs market 50.8% implied, a +5.3pp edge.
What happened: Total: 7 (line: over 6.5).
Bet returned +0.89u on 1u risked.
Pre-game call: Toronto Blue Jays ML at -118 at -118. Pre-game: model 57.1% vs market 53.2% implied, a +3.9pp edge.
What happened: New York Yankees 4 @ Toronto Blue Jays 3.
Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.
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