New York Yankees beat Toronto Blue Jays 8-3, a 5-runs margin. We projected New York Yankees 4.5-4.4 Toronto Blue Jays and gave New York Yankees a 54% win probability pre-game and our favorite held. Our published pick hit.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 49-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Yankees 54% / Toronto Blue Jays 46%. Projected New York Yankees 4.5 — 4.4 Toronto Blue Jays.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 49-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: New York Yankees ML at -132 at -132. Pre-game: model 60.3% vs market 54.3% implied, a +6.0pp edge.
What happened: New York Yankees 8 @ Toronto Blue Jays 3.
Bet returned +0.76u on 1u risked.
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