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Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins — 2026-08-30

2:10 PM ETTarget FieldSP: Jordan Hicks vs Zebby MatthewsMLBFINAL
Recap

Minnesota Twins won 5-1 over Chicago White Sox on 2026-08-30. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 4 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Chicago White Sox
34%
Minnesota Twins
66%
Projected
Sox 4.3 - 4.6 Twins

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 88-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Chicago White Sox
No recent games on file.
Minnesota Twins
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Chicago White Sox 34% / Minnesota Twins 66%. Projected Chicago White Sox 4.3 — 4.6 Minnesota Twins.

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 88-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Chicago White Sox ML at +110 at +110. Pre-game: model 54.1% vs market 47.2% implied, a +6.9pp edge.

What happened: Chicago White Sox 1 @ Minnesota Twins 5.

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

Pre-game call: Over 8.5 at -114 at -114. Pre-game: model 57.7% vs market 51.2% implied, a +6.5pp edge.

What happened: Total: 6 (line: over 8.5).

Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.

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