Detroit Tigers beat Chicago White Sox 4-1, a 3-runs margin. We projected Chicago White Sox 4.4-4.5 Detroit Tigers and gave Detroit Tigers a 61% win probability pre-game and our favorite held. Our published pick hit.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 56-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Chicago White Sox 39% / Detroit Tigers 61%. Projected Chicago White Sox 4.4 — 4.5 Detroit Tigers.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 56-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 9.0 at -116 at -116. Pre-game: model 59.2% vs market 51.5% implied, a +7.6pp edge.
What happened: Total: 5 (line: under 9).
Bet returned +0.86u on 1u risked.
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