Philadelphia Phillies beat Chicago White Sox 9-5, a 4-runs margin. We projected Chicago White Sox 4.4-4.5 Philadelphia Phillies and gave Philadelphia Phillies a 54% win probability pre-game and our favorite held. Our published pick hit.
Our MLB model rates Philadelphia Phillies as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 5-point Elo gap (1450 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Chicago White Sox 46% / Philadelphia Phillies 54%. Projected Chicago White Sox 4.4 — 4.5 Philadelphia Phillies.
Our MLB model rates Philadelphia Phillies as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 5-point Elo gap (1450 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Philadelphia Phillies ML at -172 at -172. Pre-game: model 68.2% vs market 60.7% implied, a +7.5pp edge.
What happened: Chicago White Sox 5 @ Philadelphia Phillies 9.
Bet returned +0.58u on 1u risked.
Pre-game call: Over 9.0 at -115 at -115. Pre-game: model 57.5% vs market 51.1% implied, a +6.4pp edge.
What happened: Total: 14 (line: over 9).
Bet returned +0.87u on 1u risked.
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