Chicago White Sox beat Philadelphia Phillies 6-3, a 3-runs margin. We projected Chicago White Sox 4.4-4.5 Philadelphia Phillies and gave Philadelphia Phillies a 54% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it. Our published pick hit.
Our MLB model rates Philadelphia Phillies as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 5-point Elo gap (1450 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Chicago White Sox 46% / Philadelphia Phillies 54%. Projected Chicago White Sox 4.4 — 4.5 Philadelphia Phillies.
Our MLB model rates Philadelphia Phillies as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 5-point Elo gap (1450 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 9.5 at +102 at +102. Pre-game: model 52.5% vs market 47.2% implied, a +5.3pp edge.
What happened: Total: 9 (line: under 9.5).
Bet returned +2.04u on 2u risked.
Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.