Our MLB model rates Philadelphia Phillies as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 5-point Elo gap (1450 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 9.5 at +102 at +102. Pre-game: model 52.5% vs market 47.2% implied, a +5.3pp edge.
What happened: Total: 9 (line: under 9.5).
Bet returned +2.04u on 2u risked.
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