Philadelphia Phillies beat Chicago White Sox 8-6, a 2-runs margin. We projected Chicago White Sox 4.4-4.5 Philadelphia Phillies and gave Philadelphia Phillies a 54% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Philadelphia Phillies as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 5-point Elo gap (1450 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Chicago White Sox 46% / Philadelphia Phillies 54%. Projected Chicago White Sox 4.4 — 4.5 Philadelphia Phillies.
Our MLB model rates Philadelphia Phillies as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 5-point Elo gap (1450 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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