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Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians — 2026-10-10

8:00 PM ETProgressive FieldSP: Sean Burke vs Gavin WilliamsMLBFINAL
Recap

Cleveland Guardians won 2-0 over Chicago White Sox on 2026-10-10. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 2 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Chicago White Sox
38%
Cleveland Guardians
62%
Projected
Sox 4.3 - 4.6 Guardians

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 62%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Chicago White Sox
No recent games on file.
Cleveland Guardians
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Chicago White Sox 38% / Cleveland Guardians 62%. Projected Chicago White Sox 4.3 — 4.6 Cleveland Guardians.

Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 62%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Chicago White Sox ML at +120 at +120.

What happened: Chicago White Sox 0 @ Cleveland Guardians 2.

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

Pre-game call: Over 7.5 at +108 at +108. Pre-game: model 54.0% vs market 46.6% implied, a +7.5pp edge.

What happened: Total: 2 (line: over 7.5).

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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