Chicago White Sox beat Cleveland Guardians 3-1, a 2-runs margin. We projected Chicago White Sox 4.3-4.6 Cleveland Guardians and gave Cleveland Guardians a 62% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 62%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Chicago White Sox 38% / Cleveland Guardians 62%. Projected Chicago White Sox 4.3 — 4.6 Cleveland Guardians.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 62%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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