Chicago Cubs won 4-3 over Chicago White Sox on 2026-08-18. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 1 run.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 90-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Chicago White Sox 34% / Chicago Cubs 66%. Projected Chicago White Sox 4.3 — 4.6 Chicago Cubs.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 90-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Chicago White Sox ML at +150 at +150. Pre-game: model 44.5% vs market 39.6% implied, a +4.9pp edge.
What happened: Chicago White Sox 3 @ Chicago Cubs 4.
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
Pre-game call: Over 9.0 at -105 at -105. Pre-game: model 54.9% vs market 49.2% implied, a +5.7pp edge.
What happened: Total: 7 (line: over 9).
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
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