HomeMLB › Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs

Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs — 2026-08-17

8:05 PM ETWrigley FieldSP: Luis Castillo vs Shota ImanagaMLB

Model prediction

Chicago White Sox
34%
Chicago Cubs
66%
Projected
Sox 4.3 - 4.6 Cubs

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 90-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Chicago White Sox
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Chicago Cubs
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