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Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros — 2026-09-29

5:00 PM ETDaikin ParkSP: Hagen Smith vs AJ BlubaughMLBFINAL
Recap

Chicago White Sox won 6-3 over Houston Astros on 2026-09-29. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 3 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Chicago White Sox
44%
Houston Astros
56%
Projected
Sox 4.4 - 4.5 Astros

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Houston Astros as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 20-point Elo gap (1464 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Chicago White Sox
No recent games on file.
Houston Astros
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Chicago White Sox 44% / Houston Astros 56%. Projected Chicago White Sox 4.4 — 4.5 Houston Astros.

Our MLB model rates Houston Astros as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 20-point Elo gap (1464 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Chicago White Sox ML at +104 at +104. Pre-game: model 52.9% vs market 46.9% implied, a +6.0pp edge.

What happened: Chicago White Sox 6 @ Houston Astros 3.

Bet returned +1.04u on 1u risked.

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