Minnesota Twins beat New York Yankees 11-4, a 7-runs margin. We projected Minnesota Twins 4.5-4.4 New York Yankees and gave Minnesota Twins a 51% win probability pre-game and our favorite held. Our published pick hit.
Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 31-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Minnesota Twins 51% / New York Yankees 49%. Projected Minnesota Twins 4.5 — 4.4 New York Yankees.
Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 31-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Minnesota Twins ML at +134 at +134. Pre-game: model 48.3% vs market 41.1% implied, a +7.2pp edge.
What happened: Minnesota Twins 11 @ New York Yankees 4.
Bet returned +1.34u on 1u risked.
Pre-game call: Over 10.0 at -112 at -112. Pre-game: model 55.9% vs market 50.4% implied, a +5.5pp edge.
What happened: Total: 15 (line: over 10).
Bet returned +0.89u on 1u risked.
Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.