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Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox — 2026-09-04

7:40 PM ETRate FieldSP: Zebby Matthews vs Erick FeddeMLBFINAL
Recap

Chicago White Sox won 4-1 over Minnesota Twins on 2026-09-04. Margin of 3 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Minnesota Twins
59%
Chicago White Sox
41%
Projected
Twins 4.6 - 4.3 Sox

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 88-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Minnesota Twins
No recent games on file.
Chicago White Sox
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Minnesota Twins 59% / Chicago White Sox 41%. Projected Minnesota Twins 4.6 — 4.3 Chicago White Sox.

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 88-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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