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Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers — 2026-06-11

1:10 PM ETComerica ParkSP: Zebby Matthews vs Keider MonteroMLBFINAL
Recap

Detroit Tigers beat Minnesota Twins 11-0, a 11-runs margin. We projected Minnesota Twins 4.5-4.4 Detroit Tigers and gave Minnesota Twins a 51% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Minnesota Twins
51%
Detroit Tigers
49%
Projected
Twins 4.5 - 4.4 Tigers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 32-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Minnesota Twins
No recent games on file.
Detroit Tigers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Minnesota Twins 51% / Detroit Tigers 49%. Projected Minnesota Twins 4.5 — 4.4 Detroit Tigers.

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 32-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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