Arizona Diamondbacks beat Minnesota Twins 9-5, a 4-runs margin. We projected Minnesota Twins 4.4-4.5 Arizona Diamondbacks and gave Arizona Diamondbacks a 55% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 12-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1533) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Minnesota Twins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Minnesota Twins 45% / Arizona Diamondbacks 55%. Projected Minnesota Twins 4.4 — 4.5 Arizona Diamondbacks.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 12-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1533) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Minnesota Twins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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