HomeMLB › Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs — 2026-07-17

8:05 PM ETWrigley FieldSP: Bailey Ober vs Colin ReaMLBFINAL
Recap

Minnesota Twins won 5-2 over Chicago Cubs on 2026-07-17. Margin of 3 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Minnesota Twins
46%
Chicago Cubs
54%
Projected
Twins 4.4 - 4.5 Cubs

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 1-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1533) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Minnesota Twins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Minnesota Twins
No recent games on file.
Chicago Cubs
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Minnesota Twins 46% / Chicago Cubs 54%. Projected Minnesota Twins 4.4 — 4.5 Chicago Cubs.

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 1-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1533) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Minnesota Twins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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