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Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees — 2026-06-30

7:05 PM ETYankee StadiumSP: Tarik Skubal vs Cam SchlittlerMLBFINAL
Recap

Detroit Tigers beat New York Yankees 9-3, a 6-runs margin. We projected Detroit Tigers 4.4-4.5 New York Yankees and gave New York Yankees a 54% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Detroit Tigers
46%
New York Yankees
54%
Projected
Tigers 4.4 - 4.5 Yankees

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 2-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Detroit Tigers
No recent games on file.
New York Yankees
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What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Detroit Tigers 46% / New York Yankees 54%. Projected Detroit Tigers 4.4 — 4.5 New York Yankees.

Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 2-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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