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Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins — 2026-09-02

7:40 PM ETTarget FieldSP: Drew Anderson vs Dean KremerMLBFINAL
Recap

Detroit Tigers won 11-6 over Minnesota Twins on 2026-09-02. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 5 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Detroit Tigers
42%
Minnesota Twins
58%
Projected
Tigers 4.4 - 4.5 Twins

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 32-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Detroit Tigers
No recent games on file.
Minnesota Twins
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Detroit Tigers 42% / Minnesota Twins 58%. Projected Detroit Tigers 4.4 — 4.5 Minnesota Twins.

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 32-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Over 8.5 at -118 at -118. Pre-game: model 56.6% vs market 51.5% implied, a +5.1pp edge.

What happened: Total: 17 (line: over 8.5).

Bet returned +0.85u on 1u risked.

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