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Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins — 2026-08-31

7:40 PM ETTarget FieldSP: Jackson Jobe vs Taj BradleyMLBFINAL
Recap

Minnesota Twins won 11-1 over Detroit Tigers on 2026-08-31. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 10 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Detroit Tigers
42%
Minnesota Twins
58%
Projected
Tigers 4.4 - 4.5 Twins

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 32-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Detroit Tigers
No recent games on file.
Minnesota Twins
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Detroit Tigers 42% / Minnesota Twins 58%. Projected Detroit Tigers 4.4 — 4.5 Minnesota Twins.

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 32-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Minnesota Twins ML at -120 at -120. Pre-game: model 57.0% vs market 53.6% implied, a +3.3pp edge.

What happened: Detroit Tigers 1 @ Minnesota Twins 11.

Bet returned +1.25u on 1.5u risked.

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