Seattle Mariners won 4-2 over Detroit Tigers on 2026-08-05. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates Seattle Mariners as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -10-point Elo gap (1491 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Detroit Tigers 48% / Seattle Mariners 52%. Projected Detroit Tigers 4.5 — 4.4 Seattle Mariners.
Our MLB model rates Seattle Mariners as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -10-point Elo gap (1491 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 7.5 at -110 at -110. Pre-game: model 57.0% vs market 50.0% implied, a +7.0pp edge.
What happened: Total: 6 (line: under 7.5).
Bet returned +0.91u on 1u risked.
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